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Tag: U.S.

U.S. LNG Exports Surge in 2016—But Not Where They Were Expected

January 6, 2017
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The U.S. took a big step toward becoming a major exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2016 as Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass export terminal in Louisiana came online early last year and upgrades to the Panama Canal that opened in June made shipments to the Pacific region considerably easier. Data from the Department of Energy (DOE) through December 2016 show the U.S. exported 109 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of LNG through December 16, an average of about 0.3 Bcf/d for the year as a whole.

But the predominant destinations were not what most experts had predicted. Despite signs that U.S. LNG would seek out high-priced markets in east Asia and lower-priced-but-still-attractive markets in Europe, the majority of exports went somewhere else entirely: Latin America.

DOE data show that only two shipments went to Europe (one to Spain and the other to Portugal) while only a single one went to China, for a total of just 9.7 Bcf. Four shipments went to India, totaling 13.8 Bcf.…

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U.S. Electric Markets in Transition

January 2, 2017
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The U.S. market for electricity is trifurcated. More than half the country is served by competitive generators bidding against each other in wholesale markets. Almost half is served by conventional state-regulated, vertically integrated utilities controlling generation and transmission. The rest, a much smaller portion, consists of government-owned and customer-owned utilities, some of which are generators and most of which serve retail customers. All categories are in transition.

In October 2016, the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (PUCO) offered Akron-based FirstEnergy a five-year, $ 600 million subsidy to be paid by the utility’s customers. The move was designed to compensate for the investor-owned utility’s (IOU’s) large, baseload coal and nuclear plants’ inability to compete in the PJM competitive wholesale market against low-cost natural gas.

Consumer groups slammed the PUCO order as “corporate welfare.” Tony Addison of AARP said the PUCO decision means that “Ohioans should subsidize the failing business model of FirstEnergy.” This, Addison said, “creates a terrible precedent by PUCO and others to bailout companies threatening to leave the state, on the backs of the people that work hard and pay their bills every month.”…

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service Finalizes Rule on Wind Turbine Eagle Deaths

December 14, 2016
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The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) on December 14 finalized the latest version of its rule governing permitted levels of eagle deaths at wind turbine farms.

The rule, first issued in 2009, governs the FWS’s administration of the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act, which makes it a criminal offense to kill or injure a bald or golden eagle. However, the law allows for certain “incidental take”—unintentional deaths due to otherwise lawful activities—leaving it to the FWS to decide what activities qualify and how they are to be monitored.

Contentious Issue

The deaths of eagles and other birds at wind turbine farms has become a highly charged issue in recent years, one that cuts across many of the usual political battle lines. Some environmental and wildlife groups have lobbied for stricter controls while others have argued the impact of replacing fossil fuels with wind represents a net gain for bird populations. Many of the companies that own and operate wind farms in the U.S.…

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Natural Gas and Wind Are Cheapest Sources of Power in Majority of U.S.

December 12, 2016
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In a finding that is likely to boost controversy over the future of U.S. energy policy, a comprehensive study of the full levelized cost of energy (LCOE) from various sources of electricity conducted by the University of Texas (UT) at Austin’s Energy Institute found that wind turbines and natural gas combined cycle power plants (CCPPs) provide the least expensive options for new generation across a large majority of U.S. counties.

The study, “New U.S. Power Costs: By County, with Environmental Externalities,” is part of an ongoing initiative at UT that attempts to take a “holistic approach” to calculating both direct and indirect costs of generating electricity.

The Institute has placed the results online in the form of an interactive tool that allows comparison of the LCOE for various options and adjustment of fuel costs. (The tool also makes some assumptions about the suitability of certain generation in various locations; for example, there are areas that would be unsuitable for fossil plants for environmental reasons.)…

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SLIDESHOW: An Alarming Trend Affecting U.S. Baseload Power

September 18, 2016
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States, regulators, and market participants have in recent years called attention to a trend concerning uneconomic baseload generation in organized wholesale markets, specifically in ISO New England, New York Independent System Operator (NYISO), MISO, PJM, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), and the California Independent System Operator (CAISO).

Cheap natural gas, low power demand growth, increasing operating costs owing to state and federal rules, and market design issues are affecting bottom lines and forcing some power companies to withdraw generating capacity or reconsider participation in these competitive markets.

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<strong>1.       An alarming trend. </strong><br> <br> This baseload exodus could have a worrying impact on reliability, as shown by summer planning reserve margin projections (%) from the North American Reliability Commission's <em>2015 Long-Term Reliability Assessment. Source: POWER </em>  <strong>2.     Goodbye, Ohio. </strong>  <br> <br>On Sept. 14, American Electric Power (AEP) agreed to sell four Midwestern power plants—a total 5.2 GW for about $  2.17 billion—in an effort to become a fully regulated company. The plants include the 1,186-MW natural gas–fired Lawrenceburg Generating Station in Lawrenceburg, Indiana; the 840-MW natural gas–fired Waterford Energy Center in Waterford, Ohio; the 507-MW natural gas–fired Darby Generating Station in Mount Sterling, Ohio; and the 2,665-MW coal-fired Gen. James M. Gavin Plant in Cheshire, Ohio.  <br> <br> Duke Energy in 2014 made a similar move when it announced it would transition its generating fleet away from volatile organized wholesale markets. <br> <br> Pictured:  AEP's 2,665-MW coal-fired Gen. James M. Gavin Plant in Cheshire, Ohio, is one of the largest in the U.S. <em>Courtesy: Analogue Kid/Wikimedia Commons </em> <strong>3.     ISO New England. </strong> <br> <br>Entergy Nuclear closed the 620-MW Vermont Yankee nuclear plant in December 2014, owing to increased costs and market conditions, even though the unit had received a license renewal to operate until 2032. In October, Entergy said it will also retire its 680-MW Pilgrim nuclear plant in Massachusetts by 2019, citing low wholesale power prices and low gas prices.  <br> <br> Pictured: Entergy's Pilgrim nuclear plant. <em>Courtesy: Entergy</em> <strong>4.      NYISO. </strong><br> <br>On August 1, New York’s financially struggling upstate nuclear power plants—Exelon's 610-MW Ginna and 1,761-MW Nine Mile plants, and Entergy's 838-MW FitzPatrick plant (which Exelon agreed to acquire for just $  110 million)—received a much-needed lifeline with passage of the New York State Public Service Commission's Clean Energy Standard. The Clean Energy Standard requires all six New York investor-owned utilities and other energy suppliers to pay for the intrinsic value of carbon-free emissions from nuclear power plants by purchasing “Zero-Emission Credits.” The plants will begin receiving subsidies in 2017.  <br> <br> Pictured: Entergy's James A. FitzPatrick Nuclear Power Plant, a single-unit facility located in Scriba, N.Y., that the company planned to shut down by January 2017 for economic reasons, but which Exelon will buy and likely keep open. <em>Courtesy: Exelon </em>  <strong>5. 	PJM. </strong><br> <br>AEP Ohio and FirstEnergy are continuing discussions with Ohio legislators around restructuring the state's electricity market.  <br> <br> In late June, meanwhile, Exelon notified state and federal regulators that it plans to close the two-unit, 1,880-MW Quad Cities in Cordova, Ill., by June 2018. The company warned that its Three Mile Island plant, which didn't clear in the PJM capacity auction for the 2019 to 2020 planning year, might be at risk of closure. It said it would also close the 1,098-MW Clinton, Ill., single-unit reactor in June 2017, even though it cleared the MISO capacity auction. According to Exelon, Quad Cities and Clinton have lost a combined $  800 million over the past seven years, “despite being two of Exelon’s best-performing plants.”  <br> <br> Pictured: Exelon's 1,871-MW Quad Cities station <em>Courtesy: Exelon </em>  <strong>6. 	MISO. </strong><br> <br>Dynegy in May said it will shut down three coal units at two Illinois power plants—more than 1,800 MW—because they failed to recover basic operating costs at a MISO capacity auction. Just months before, the company said it would retire another 465-MW uneconomical Illinois coal plant.  <br> <br> Meanwhile, Detroit-headquartered DTE Energy in June said it would retire eight small coal-fired units at three sites in Michigan within the next seven years due to "age and projected future costs." <br> <br> Pending closure of Exelon's 1,069-MW Clinton nuclear plant for economic reasons, meanwhile, complicates MISO's planning efforts. The grid operator projects a generation shortfall of 300 MW, 800 MW, and 1.2 GW in parts of Michigan, Missouri, and Illinois, respectively.  <br> <br>Pictured: DTE Energy in June 2016 said that it will retire the last unit at its Trenton Channel Power Plant in Detroit by 2023, along with seven other units in its fleet. <em>Courtesy: DTE Energy </em>  <strong>7.     ERCOT.</strong> <br> <br>A September 2016 report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) projects that seven aging coal-fired power plants in Texas—a total 8.1 GW that represents about 40% of coal-fired capacity in ERCOT—will likely be retired due to their inability to compete in the Texas electricity market. Among "forces arrayed against coal-fired generation" that suggests the plants' retirement is likely are increases in natural gas generation, increased competition from new wind and solar resources, and generally, "low energy market prices in ERCOT's deregulated wholesale markets,” IEEFA said. Another consideration is a federal regional haze rule that could force generators to install $  2 billion in pollution controls, rendering them uneconomical.  <br> <br> But coal plants aren't the only ones in trouble. NRG Energy mothballed all units at its Bertron Natural Gas Plant and Unit 5 at its Greens Bayou natural gas plant (at total 1,098 MW) this summer. The 45-MW Aspen Lufkin biomass plant was also mothballed this summer for economic reasons.  <strong>8.     CAISO. </strong><br> <br>In California, where generation from hydropower and renewables soared this summer, thermal generation (almost all from natural gas) in CAISO dropped 20% compared to last summer, according to the Energy Information Administration. The biomass sector has suffered the most notably. According to the California Biomass Energy Alliance, more than a dozen of its members’ 34 operating solid-fuel biomass plants have been idled, struggling to compete with low natural gas prices.  <br> <br> Under a recently passed bill (SB 859), however, electricity retailers will be required to enter into five-year contracts for 125 MW of biomass power from facilities built before 2013 that generate energy from wood harvested from high-fire hazard zones, reported <em>Biomass </em> magazine in September.  <br> <br> Pictured: Thermal Energy Development Partnership, a 20.5-MW woody biomass power plant in Tracy, in San Joaquin County, Calif., has been idled. <em>Courtesy: Greenleaf Power</em>

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7. ERCOT.

A September 2016 report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) projects that seven aging coal-fired power plants in Texas—a total 8.1 GW that represents about 40% of coal-fired capacity in ERCOT—will likely be retired due to their inability to compete in the Texas electricity market. Among “forces arrayed against coal-fired generation” that suggests the plants’ retirement is likely are increases in natural gas generation, increased competition from new wind and solar resources, and generally, “low energy market prices in ERCOT’s deregulated wholesale markets,” IEEFA said.

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U.S. and Canada Follow Different Climate Policy Paths—Does One Offer a Competitive Advantage?

August 25, 2016
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Although the U.S. and Canada are both aiming for similar greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions, the two countries are embarking on decidedly different approaches to reaching their goals, according to a report released on August 23.

IHS Markit—a company that provides information, analytics, and solutions to customers in business, finance, and government—developed the report, titled “The State of Canadian and US Climate Policy.” One reason it cites for the different emissions reduction methods is that the makeup of the power sectors in the two countries is vastly different.

In the U.S., the largest GHG emitter is the electric power generation industry. Historically, coal has been the most prominent fuel source for U.S. electricity production, and it is a heavy GHG emitter. As natural gas supplies have increased and the cost of renewable energy has decreased, replacing coal with these lower- and zero-emitting resources has resulted in a natural decrease in GHG emissions.

Canada, however, gets about 80% of its electricity from resources that have always been low- or zero-carbon emitters, mainly hydropower.…

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